In terms of their political values
In terms of their political values, what most distinguishes Republicans from
Democrats in Pennsylvania? The new IssuesPA/Pew poll provides some answers.
Based on an analysis of response to 21 forced-choice "balanced
alternative" items measuring a variety of political values and
orientations, the biggest values differences between adherents of the two major
parties in Pennsylvania are in attitudes toward foreign policy assertiveness and
government's role in helping the needy. This is consistent with the findings of
a national survey last December by The Pew Research Center for the People &
the Press. Republicans are more likely than Democrats to believe military
strength is the best way to ensure peace. Democrats are more likely than
Republicans to feel government should do more to help the needy, even if it
means taking on more debt or raising taxes.
As shown in the following table, after these two areas, views about the
adequacy of government benefits for the poor, perceptions about the level of
corporate profits, concern about preserving the environment, priority given to
international affairs vs. domestic problems, and opinion about the government's
role in protecting morality are most strongly related to party identification in
the Keystone state.
|
Values
That Most Divide Republicans and Democrats
|
|
|
--Republicans--
|
--Democrats--
|
|
|
|
(1/2)
|
Margin
|
(1/2)
|
Margin
|
Diff.
Index
|
|
|
%
|
|
%
|
|
|
|
(1) Best way to ensure
peace is through military strength/(2) Good diplomacy is best way
|
38/44
|
-6
|
16/75
|
-59
|
53
|
|
(1) Government should
do more to help the needy, even if it means deeper debt or raising
taxes/(2) Government can’t afford to do much more
|
40/49
|
-9
|
66/24
|
42
|
51
|
|
(1) Poor people today
have it easy because they can get government benefits without doing
anything in return/(2) Have hard lives because benefits don’t go far
enough
|
44/39
|
5
|
24/63
|
-39
|
44
|
|
(1) Business
corporations make too much profit/(2) Most make a fair and reasonable
amount of profit
|
47/48
|
-1
|
67/28
|
39
|
40
|
|
(1) We should do
whatever it takes to protect the environment/(2) Efforts have gone too far
|
63/30
|
33
|
84/13
|
71
|
38
|
|
(1) It’s best for
the future of our country to be active in world affairs/(2) Pay less
attention to problems overseas and concentrate on problems here at home
|
46/44
|
2
|
28/63
|
-35
|
37
|
|
(1) Government should
do more to protect morality/(2) I worry government is getting too involved
in the issue
|
54/38
|
16
|
37/58
|
-21
|
37
|
How to read this table: The Difference Index scores were
calculated by subtracting the Democrat margin from the Republican margin. Higher
scores indicate larger differences in the views of Republicans and Democrats.
How do political Independents in Pennsylvania - critical in determining the
outcome of statewide elections - compare with Republicans and Democrats on these
defining political values orientations? On balance, Pennsylvania Independents
have political values that are closer to those of Democrats than they are to
those of Republicans. Most notably, majorities of Independents take
"Democratic" positions in endorsing good diplomacy, not military
strength, as the best way to achieve peace (63%), believing the country should
focus more on domestic problems (63%), and having reservations about government
involvement in the issue of morality (55%). In addition, about as many
Independents as Democrats think "we should do whatever it takes to protect
the environment" (80% vs. 84%).
Political Values and Opinion of Ed Rendell
Favorability ratings for Governor Ed Rendell divide 58% favorable/34%
unfavorable in the new poll. Opinion of Rendell is not as closely linked to
specific political values orientations as party identification is. As shown in
the table below, the values positions most closely associated with opinion of
Rendell are evaluations of government performance, views about the adequacy of
government benefits for the poor, trust in elected officials, opinion about the
worth of government regulation, and views about whether officials in Harrisburg
make an effort to stay in touch with their constituents. In sum, opinion of the
Governor is more about general feelings toward government and political
officeholders, and less about specific ideology or policy orientations.
|
Values
Most Strongly Related to Rendell Opinion
|
|
|
Rendell
--Favorable--
|
Rendell
-Unfavorable-
|
|
|
|
(1/2)
|
Margin
|
(1/2)
|
Margin
|
Diff.
Index
|
|
|
%
|
|
%
|
|
|
|
(1) Government is
almost always wasteful and inefficient/
(2) Often does a better job than people give it credit for
|
53/40
|
13
|
69/23
|
46
|
33
|
|
(1) Poor people today
have it easy because they can get government benefits without doing
anything in return/(2) Have hard lives because benefits don’t go far
enough
|
30/58
|
-28
|
44/39
|
5
|
33
|
|
(1) Most elected
officials care what people like me think/
(2) Most elected officials don’t care
|
35/58
|
-23
|
20/76
|
-56
|
33
|
|
(1) Government
regulation of business is necessary to protect the public interest/(2)
Usually does more harm than good
|
49/45
|
4
|
31/59
|
-28
|
32
|
|
(1) Elected officials
in Harrisburg lose touch with the people pretty quickly/(2) Try hard to
stay in touch with voters
|
48/45
|
3
|
64/30
|
34
|
31
|
How to read this table: The Difference Index scores were
calculated by subtracting the Unfavorable margin from the Favorable margin.
Higher scores indicate larger differences in those with favorable views and
those with unfavorable views.
Political Values and Opinion of Rick Santorum
Overall favorability ratings for Senator Rick Santorum are also positive (49%
favorable/28% unfavorable). The Senator's efforts in promoting faith-based
initiatives and otherwise bringing his religious beliefs to the realm of
government policy have not gone unnoticed. In contrast to opinion of Governor
Rendell, opinion of Senator Santorum is most strongly related to one particular
political values orientation - beliefs about the role of the government in
promoting morality. Fifty-two percent of those with a favorable opinion of
Santorum favor more involvement of government in protecting morality in society;
68% of those with an unfavorable opinion say they are worried about government
getting too involved with the issue of morality. At least for now, this does not
work to the Senator's advantage, as more Pennsylvanians have reservations about
government's role in protecting morality as favor an expanded government role in
this area (55% vs. 41%).
After beliefs about government involvement in protecting morality, the
political values orientations most associated with opinion of Santorum would
seem to reflect his incumbent status, his support for an aggressive military
policy, and his social conservation.
|
Values
Most Strongly Related to Santorum Opinion
|
|
|
Santorum
--Favorable--
|
Santorum
-Unfavorable-
|
|
|
|
(1/2)
|
Margin
|
(1/2)
|
Margin
|
Diff.
Index
|
|
|
%
|
|
%
|
|
|
|
(1) Government should
do more to protect morality/(2) I worry government is getting too involved
in the issue
|
52/42
|
10
|
26/68
|
-42
|
52
|
|
(1) Best way to ensure
peace is through military strength/(2) Good diplomacy is best way
|
32/54
|
-22
|
17/73
|
-56
|
34
|
|
(1) Most elected
officials care what people like me think/
(2) Most elected officials don’t care
|
37/57
|
-20
|
21/74
|
-53
|
33
|
|
(1) Students should be
taught the Biblical account of creation/(2) What the Bible says about how
life began isn’t science
|
58/33
|
25
|
41/47
|
-6
|
31
|
How to read this table: The Difference Index scores were
calculated by subtracting the Unfavorable margin from the Favorable margin.
Higher scores indicate larger differences in those with favorable views and
those with unfavorable views.
Political Values and Opinion of Bob Casey, Jr.
State Treasurer Bob Casey, Jr.'s favorability ratings are 52% favorable/12%
unfavorable - more positive than those of both Rendell and Santorum. At this
point, however, Rick Santorum's likely Democratic opponent for the U.S. Senate
in 2006 is not especially well-defined politically. This is not likely to be
maintained over the course of a tough campaign for the U.S. Senate - ultimately
he will become more sharply defined politically in the public mind. Only two
political values orientations score even moderately high in the strength of
their relationship to opinion of Casey: views of government performance and
trust in elected officials.
|
Values
Most Strongly Related to Casey Opinion
|
|
|
Casey
--Favorable--
|
Casey
-Unfavorable-
|
|
|
|
(1/2)
|
Margin
|
(1/2)
|
Margin
|
Diff.
Index
|
|
|
%
|
|
%
|
|
|
|
(1) Government is
almost always wasteful and inefficient/
(2) Often does a better job than people give it credit for
|
54/39
|
15
|
70/24
|
46
|
31
|
|
(1) Most elected
officials care what people like me think/
(2) Most elected officials don’t care
|
33/61
|
-28
|
20/78
|
-58
|
30
|
|
(1) Elected officials
in Harrisburg lose touch with the people pretty quickly/(2) Try hard to
stay in touch with voters
|
50/44
|
6
|
63/34
|
29
|
23
|
How to read this table: The Difference Index scores were
calculated by subtracting the Unfavorable margin from the Favorable margin.
Higher scores indicate larger differences in those with favorable views and
those with unfavorable views.
****** Larry Hugick is the Chairman of Princeton Survey
Research Associates International, which prepared and conducted the survey for
IssuesPA and Pew.